Winter...WTH!?

Discussion in 'Off Topic' started by Chuckman, Dec 3, 2018.

  1. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    upload_2018-12-3_14-16-54.png
     
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  2. Bunsen

    Bunsen ACME Labs

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    When is this to occur?
     
  3. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    Theoretically this weekend. Of course, this is one of umpteen models; this guy (www.wxrisk.com) out of Virginia is WAY more right than wrong with winter weather.
     
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  4. GoWolfpack

    GoWolfpack Member Benefactor Charter Life Member

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    Point the first: let's shift that to the east about 50 miles and get me out of work for a few days.

    Point the second: Internet Explorer? Really?
     
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  5. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    At work. It's all I got.
     
  6. Curmudgeon

    Curmudgeon Is it time yet? Supporting Member

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    Actually you have (even worse) Edge as well
     
  7. SDIVER2006

    SDIVER2006 SDIVER2006

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    Yeah well I have made an executive decision, and will not come to work. every time bad weather comes I and my ilk show up, work others play the I cannot come in.
    then they get a comp/weather day, and i get nuttin in return.

    so Ill sit home and drink Bourbon
     
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  8. JustKeepSwimming

    JustKeepSwimming House Dad Extraordinaire Benefactor Charter Life Member

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    Wild. I've spent today in shorts, a t-shirt and flip flops.
     
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  9. noway2

    noway2 Senior Member Charter Life Member

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    We shall see. This seems a little more severe than the ~1 inch of ice pellets possible for Sunday/Monday that is currently forecast for the Triad area.
     
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  10. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    The guy stresses it's just one model in many, and he excoriates most traditional models. It could be wildly off; that said, he is right about 95% of the time with winter weather. He was also right about the hurricane and came closest to any predictions on landfall and track.
     
  11. HMP

    HMP Well-Known Member

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    That's worst case scenario, I doubt it'll be anywhere close to that Euro model
     
  12. rantingredneck

    rantingredneck ....glutton for punishment..... Staff Member Benefactor Charter Life Member

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    My understanding is the Euro model almost never comes true for us.
     
  13. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    This guy looks at all the models but is big on the GFS FV3; he is saying that is far too early to know obviously but most of the models are lining up.

    Of course all the models favor perfect conditions and perfect timing so all of these are likely to change several times over.
     
  14. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    Not for nothing, the euro model is popular with some of the local TV stations.
     
  15. noway2

    noway2 Senior Member Charter Life Member

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    Did some digging on his site. The December 2018 archive has the blog for this possible event. He discusses the FV3 model and says it will become the "officially" adopted version on Jan 1, 2019.

    He also says that something has changed and all the models show the storm moving more south, but it might not stay that way, but as its happened to every one of them, there is obviously some disturbance they are seeing.
     
  16. CZfool68

    CZfool68 Int'l Man of Mystery Charter Member Sponsor Supporting Member

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    This damn well better not hit us! My FIL and his lady friend are supposed to come next weekend. If they are here more than 1-2 days ot is not going to be pretty. :mad:
     
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  17. rantingredneck

    rantingredneck ....glutton for punishment..... Staff Member Benefactor Charter Life Member

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    For the Triad area of NC, if you aren't following Tim Buckley on FB you should be. He's the most reliable weatherman I've found.
     
  18. wsfiredude

    wsfiredude boat rocker Charter Member

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  19. rdinatal

    rdinatal Better late then never...

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    Oh, fun!!!

    Bread, milk, BS! ABC store!!
     
    Last edited: Dec 3, 2018
  20. Oneofsix

    Oneofsix Part-time alcoholic Charter Member

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    #metoo

    Shit, I work from home...might not be able to get that past the boss.

    Sent from notthedroidyourelookingfor
     
  21. Grim

    Grim Active Member

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    This exact thing happened over Thanksgiving a couple years ago. We were hunting near Blacksburg and got over 9" in three hours. It closed the road we took out there down and had to take the long way back to Copper Hill.
     
  22. Bailey Boat

    Bailey Boat Senior Member Charter Member Benefactor Supporting Member

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    Easy folks..... it's weathermen, their rarely right and even have a hard time getting it wrong!! Only job in the world where they can be wrong 95% of the time and still keep their job. They always look for the worst looking model 'cause that's more dramatic. Where do weathermen go to drama school???
     
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  23. chiefjason

    chiefjason Vendor and Leather Hack Charter Member Vendor

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    My wed is going to suck. This time of year I usually have 110 stacks of bread and a couple 5-10 stack overloads. Wed I have 129 stacks and a 24 stack and 30 stack overload. Meaning I have to deal with 2 completely full trailers of bread wed night. Did I mention it’s going to suck? It will pay well, and I’ll earn every stinking penny of it.


    Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
     
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  24. Jabroni

    Jabroni Member

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    Eh. Forecast changes from nada to inches of doom everytime I refresh my weather map.
     
  25. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    None of them will claim to be right this far out. This guy has been right > 95% of the time in the 2 years I have followed him, which is within statistical confidence intervals. He has been right far and away more than the Triangle weather people.
     
  26. jmccracken1214

    jmccracken1214 Essayons!

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    That's it! You must be a weatherman.
     
  27. Ikarus1

    Ikarus1 Avtomat Krishna-kov

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    ordering firewood for the first time from my wood man today. I burned wood throughout the last half of November, partially to get the chimney 'primed' for the season, partially for the smoke being a great cover scent for my hunting clothes and backyard treestand.........and because I love the smell of burning hickory, pecan and oak wood.
     
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  28. premise

    premise Member

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    And like that, I have a new porn name
     
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  29. Bunsen

    Bunsen ACME Labs

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    worth the time to watch:

     
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  30. Chuckman

    Chuckman Senior Member Sponsor

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    Yep, a youtube vid from the same guy that put up the graphic in my original post. He has some more info out today.

    upload_2018-12-4_15-22-29.png
     
  31. Johnny

    Johnny Misanthropist Supporting Member

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    Is 'The Angry Inch' too long for you all of a sudden?
     
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  32. wsfiredude

    wsfiredude boat rocker Charter Member

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    Wow...

    Dude has his sh*t wired tight.
     
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  33. premise

    premise Member

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    Good news is, I figured out I could push the fat in.
     
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  34. Jabroni

    Jabroni Member

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    Hah! Remember, "inches" could mean only two...
     
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  35. HMP

    HMP Well-Known Member

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    still a ways out, but Im surprised by how many are saying we'll get 3-5 here in the Triad
     
  36. premise

    premise Member

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    Sounds like my wife's problem, not mine.
     
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  37. BigTwig

    BigTwig Beach bum Charter Member Supporting Member

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    Life of a bread vendor, I am not jealous of you at all! As a beer vendor I deal with a lot for weather events but the bread and chip folks sure do work thier butts off.
     
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  38. Jabroni

    Jabroni Member

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    Touche'!!
     
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  39. Gray

    Gray Canadian bacon is ham Supporting Member

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    Screenshot_20181204-192657.png

    Standing by...
     
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  40. Chdamn's Wife

    Chdamn's Wife Estrogen Fueled Badass Charter Member

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