Hurricane Elsa, here we go

REELDOC

REELDOC

The creek won't clear up til you get the pigs out.
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I think I want to get back with a disaster team. Sure do miss that stuff.
 
turkeydance said:

Elsa Strengthens​


sounds like one of those
TikTok influencers.
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LOL. My late mothers name. I sent my sister a text last night about Elsa breaking records and heading for FL. (we are from FL originally)
 
Bloodyhands said:
Wonder what the repercussions of Elsa will be on the partially collapsed building in Surfside Fla., certainly Not Good....
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When wind starts increasing the risk starts increasing … the cranes and rigging will be really affected by winds … they’ll have to stop until conditions die down. The they’ll have to deal with the rain and drainage water that was dumped by Elsa. If I were to bet I’d say Monday things will really slowdown and stop until things pass … and Tuesday the safety engineers will inspect to see what dangers have arisen before they are allowed to get back full on.

I truly wonder what major wind gusts will blow off or down …
 
NCFubar said:
When wind starts increasing the risk starts increasing … the cranes and rigging will be really affected by winds … they’ll have to stop until conditions die down. The they’ll have to deal with the rain and drainage water that was dumped by Elsa. If I were to bet I’d say Monday things will really slowdown and stop until things pass … and Tuesday the safety engineers will inspect to see what dangers have arisen before they are allowed to get back full on.

I truly wonder what major wind gusts will blow off or down …
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I hate to say it but I think after the storm dies down this will be a recovery operation.
 
Anyone got a parascending rig I can borrow? I have a plan.....
 
Bloodyhands said:
Wonder what the repercussions of Elsa will be on the partially collapsed building in Surfside Fla., certainly Not Good....
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it's been like 9 days already
it's already not good. at this point, rain water might help the survivors
 
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GreatGazoo said:
Two of the named storms this season were, by definition, "shorties." See this article for a series of comparisons regarding Atlantic Season tropical storm accounting and assessment with particular attention to the issue of normalizing for modern surveillance methods: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2021/07/01/was-2020-a-record-breaking-hurricane-season-yes-but/
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I think I read a North Carolina weather authority that we've had more numbered and named tropical events at this point then any other season.

He, or I, could be wrong, I find this stuff fascinating but I surely don't keep up with it.
 
DrScaryGuy said:
it's been like 9 days already
it's already not good. at this point, rain water might help the survivors
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Seriously. 9 days under 1000’s of lbs of concrete with no food or water. This story has been settled for days already. They aren’t going to notice a ,ittle water now.
 
Chuckman said:
I think I read a North Carolina weather authority that we've had more numbered and named tropical events at this point then any other season.

He, or I, could be wrong, I find this stuff fascinating but I surely don't keep up with it.
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IMO it’s like the heat index. Any excuse to build excitement and fear. And claim global warming is causing everything. Except of course all the nice 80 degree days with low humidity we’ve had this year. The news pretty much ignores those days.
 
CZfool68 said:
IMO it’s like the heat index. Any excuse to build excitement and fear. And claim global warming is causing everything. Except of course all the nice 80 degree days with low humidity we’ve had this year. The news pretty much ignores those days.
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The Atlantic waters are about 3° warmer than usual, and the warmer water is deeper this year than normal. That's probably the reason. Now to what that is attributed, I have no idea.
 
REELDOC said:
I hate to say it but I think after the storm dies down this will be a recovery operation.
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While not officially because of political BS but way before that SERT teams know in a collapse like this it is a recovery operation but the mayor and such will not let those words used. Really 10-12 hours is the 1st wave where those needing medical treatment are lost … 1 day is where medication dependent people (diabetics and such) are lost … 2 days is where water comes into play especially senior citizens … 5 days the only real hope is that 1% God watched over and that why those guy keep digging! After Elsa will be roughly 11 days …

The worst day will be when the engineers say it time to take down the remaining structure if not all are accounted for one way or the other. IF not all are accounted for … the implosion of the remain structure will be the day hope ends … God rest their souls.
 
NCFubar said:
While not officially because of political BS but way before that SERT teams know in a collapse like this it is a recovery operation but the mayor and such will not let those words used. Really 10-12 hours is the 1st wave where those needing medical treatment are lost … 1 day is where medication dependent people (diabetics and such) are lost … 2 days is where water comes into play especially senior citizens … 5 days the only real hope is that 1% God watched over and that why those guy keep digging! After Elsa will be roughly 11 days …

The worst day will be when the engineers say it time to take down the remaining structure if not all are accounted for one way or the other. IF not all are accounted for … the implosion of the remain structure will be the day hope ends … God rest their souls.
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Yep, I remember when we went through all these scenarios and drills when I was with NC-DMAT. I really didn't like working with the D-MORT folks, they were on the freaky side but somebody has to do it

Had a friend that went to NY after 911 and worked in the Fresh Kills landfill looking for pieces parts. He didn't didn't last but a couple days.

I don't envy the contractors that have to finish the job.
 
Chuckman said:
The Atlantic waters are about 3° warmer than usual, and the warmer water is deeper this year than normal. That's probably the reason. Now to what that is attributed, I have no idea.
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Most likely the UFO’s going under water and emitting their radiation. Or at least that’s what Navy pilots say. Which is as accurate as any Gov’t science data at this point.
 
Going to bust up into the gulf side of Florida before it comes up this way. Lumber and gas prices will likely rise....more than they are now.
 
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Gas is already up down here in Tampa/St Pete. We're due to be hit tomorrow night it sounds.

Have some friends in Cuba that say it's getting ugly there already...
 
We’re supposed to be in Savanna tomorrow night and Clearwater Beach Tuesday-Saturday.

Awesome…..
[emoji37]


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Chuckman said:
I think I read a North Carolina weather authority that we've had more numbered and named tropical events at this point then any other season.

He, or I, could be wrong, I find this stuff fascinating but I surely don't keep up with it.
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@Chuckman sorry to be delayed in response. I wasn't questioning the right or wrong of the the fact of how many systems have been named this year. I was observing, based, in part, on the article I cited up in #11, that the nature of whether a tropical season is "active" is a multi-faceted and subtle issue (and, of course, the potential complication that the "naming" of storms is not in and of itself as objective as one might wish - after all, named winter storms are certainly higher now than in the past - when they weren't named at all).
 
If you live in central NC and south-central VA between GSO and RAH and south of RIC heads up. I have a feeling that the main band of rainfall may shift west of where it is currently being forecast which is generally the I-95 corridor. A quick 4-5" could be possible with this storm leading to flooding issues. Models have struggled in the past with troughs interacting with tropical cyclones over the Mid-Atlantic.
 
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The forecasting has been all over the map (no pun intended). I am thinking a bit of rain for Durham and that's it.
 
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I ain’t no weatherman and these storms can shift but we’re within the 24 hour window now and in central NC I’m setting up for rain starting early tomorrow and going thru the evening. The forecasts is for 2”-4” of rain and winds 15-20 mph with gusts to 35 … not huge but I’ll have the flashlights ready and something for the grill just in case.
 
I hope everyone came thru this OK.
 
Just a steady rain and no wind here in southern Wake county. Wind supposed to pick up later, but it doesn’t look like we will get more than a couple of inches of rain judging from the radar pics.
 
Chuckman said:
I think I read a North Carolina weather authority that we've had more numbered and named tropical events at this point then any other season.

He, or I, could be wrong, I find this stuff fascinating but I surely don't keep up with it.
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It makes sense. Fran and Floyd were SEP storms. Here we have “E” in July.
 
fieldgrade said:
Just a steady rain and no wind here in southern Wake county. Wind supposed to pick up later, but it doesn’t look like we will get more than a couple of inches of rain judging from the radar pics.
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yeah, it's been a bit windy here on the south end of cumberland. i woke up early on accident and it was a bit rainy, was up for an hour or two, heavy rain started and the droning put me back to sleep for a few hours. I hope everybody has just as terrible experience with it as I'm having. My sunflowers are not enjoying it. they're at about 6ft now, top heavy but no blossoms yet. The soft soil they're in tends to give way when the winds blow.
 
Raining pretty hard now but steady and only occasional wind
 
I went out in the storm this morning to visit my barber. I'm not quite sure how I survived with all that drizzle and gentle breeze in my face. I nearly stranded my car in the 2" of standing water collecting in in the low spots on the road. Made me wonder if I should have bought gas for the generator and stocked up on eggs, bread and milk.
 
My better half and I had to go into Leland from Oak Island this morning for a Dr. appointment. It was somewhat rugged about 9:30 along US 17 with lots of rain and strong winds. It has mainly passed now (12:11) with light winds and no rain at Oak Island.
 
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